Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.704695e-05 3.237833e-05 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000070
2025-05-11 2.183253e-05 2.908717e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091
2025-05-18 1.749849e-05 2.570804e-05 0.000036 0.000049 0.000066 0.000085 0.000109
2025-05-25 1.268750e-05 2.073535e-05 0.000031 0.000046 0.000065 0.000088 0.000118
2025-06-01 9.556371e-06 1.733659e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000065 0.000092 0.000128
2025-06-08 7.635984e-06 1.526958e-05 0.000027 0.000044 0.000068 0.000099 0.000141
2025-06-15 6.057633e-06 1.339560e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000069 0.000104 0.000152
2025-06-22 4.584411e-06 1.136264e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000069 0.000107 0.000161
2025-06-29 3.330471e-06 9.401948e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000068 0.000108 0.000166
2025-07-06 2.329789e-06 7.635948e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000170
2025-07-13 1.762435e-06 6.619146e-06 0.000017 0.000036 0.000067 0.000112 0.000179
2025-07-20 1.366610e-06 5.873867e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000068 0.000116 0.000189
2025-07-27 1.012485e-06 5.212358e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000071 0.000125 0.000207
2025-08-03 8.573398e-07 5.073202e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000078 0.000139 0.000234
2025-08-10 6.371534e-07 4.586604e-06 0.000016 0.000039 0.000083 0.000150 0.000255
2025-08-17 3.340588e-07 3.473555e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000081 0.000151 0.000263
2025-08-24 1.744029e-07 2.728738e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000154 0.000274
2025-08-31 9.858586e-08 2.300180e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000082 0.000161 0.000290
2025-09-07 4.890868e-08 1.901075e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000084 0.000167 0.000305
2025-09-14 1.681500e-08 1.463583e-06 0.000009 0.000033 0.000083 0.000170 0.000316
2025-09-21 3.046729e-09 1.061686e-06 0.000008 0.000031 0.000081 0.000171 0.000323
2025-09-28 8.165826e-11 7.297323e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000079 0.000170 0.000328
2025-10-05 NaN 5.584206e-07 0.000006 0.000028 0.000080 0.000174 0.000341